عدة عوامل تشير إلى إنتعاش السوق السنة المقبلة

الموضوع في 'السوق الأمريكي للأوراق الماليه' بواسطة Bullish, بتاريخ ‏1 ديسمبر 2001.

  1. Bullish

    Bullish عضو جديد

    التسجيل:
    ‏31 أغسطس 2001
    المشاركات:
    121
    عدد الإعجابات:
    0
    مكان الإقامة:
    Bahrain
    1) Monetary Policy-The Fed has cut rates 10 times for a total of 450 basis
    points lowering the Fed Funds Rate to 2%.

    2) Fiscal Policy-The government has injected a powerful fiscal stimulus
    package into the economy with tax cuts.

    3) Energy-Lower energy costs add to economic stimulus effects. The price of
    oil has dropped drastically.

    4) Inflation is nonexistent.

    5) IPOs are getting hot again.

    6) Jobless claims are dropping.

    7) Consumer spending continues.

    8) Americans are traveling again. Airports are crazy with people again.
    Hotel occupancy rates have risen from 20% to over 60% during the past six
    weeks!

    9) There is currently over $3 trillion in money market funds. This money
    will not stay there forever!

    10) The media is STILL negative. The media won't be positive again until we
    reach a new peak! At that point it is already too late to buy stocks.
    Remember how excited they got around Nasdaq 5000? It was too late!

    11) And maybe the most far-fetched indicator of them all; The Este Lauder
    Lipstick Indicator. Este Lauder contends that lipstick sales increase as
    the economy begins to recover. They said sales of lipstick is up over 500%
    in some areas!

    12) Maybe most importantly, since the government just admitted that we are
    in a recession, it most likely means that we are on our way out of it!

    13) Oh yeah, what about the argument for high PEs? As quickly as analysts
    lowered earnings, professional managers believe analysts will begin to raise
    them! That will lower PE numbers very quickly (overnight in some cases)!

    Now you see why Dow 15,000 may be here quicker than you think! We have just
    started the next leg of the bull market. While the stock market should have
    never pulled back as much as it did, you MUST use this as an opportunity!