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تقرير مفصل بتاريخ November 15,
EMRG - we listed Emerge Interactive (EMRG) as a spec play back in our October 26th report after the stock closed at $1.22 and again last Thursday morning (11/11/04) after it closed at $1.31. After our first listing of it back in late October, the stock subsequently shot up to just over the $2.00 level before backing off the next several sessions, hitting a near term low around the $1.10 and hanging between the $1.20 to $1.40 area for the next few sessions. On Friday though, the stock shot up over 19% on the day to finish at $1.50 on extremely heavy trading volume (over 2 million shares traded hands) after hitting an intraday high of $1.58. This one's not for the faint of heart obviously, but there are some strong near term technical indications that this stock is ready to rock and roll higher and if it can continue to gather upside momentum over the next several sessions, we may well see this stock run to the $3.00 area with some limited resistance coming in around the $1.75 to $2.00 range.
eMerge Interactive, Inc. is a technology company providing individual-animal tracking, food-safety and supply procurement services to the beef production industry. The Company is structured into two operating groups, the Food Safety Technologies (FST) Group and the Animal Information Solutions (AIS) Group. The FST Group's patented VerifEYE food safety technology is a machine vision technology designed to detect microscopic levels of organic contamination, which can harbor deadly pathogens. The VerifEYE technology is available in several applications for the meat processing and food processing industries, with additional products being developed for the food service, healthcare and childcare industries. The AIS Group focuses on providing comprehensive, data-driven solutions to meet customers' information challenges.
The most encouraging near term technical indication that shares of EMRG may be poised to break out to the upside is the stock's money flow picture, which now stands at an all time high and significantly higher than where it was even back in early February 2000 when the stock's price hit an all time high of over $70.00 per share. That said, all things are relative and we're not suggesting that Emerge Interactive is headed anywhere close to that price again before Jesus returns, but the fact that this stock fell from the $4.75 area in early January of this year to new 52 week lows in the $0.81 area by late September and yet money flow remained at record levels during that time frame strongly suggests the smart money has remained in Emerge and continued accumulating shares of it even as the short term traders bailed on the stock.
What happens in most cases like this is that eventually those accumulating the stock gain a solid majority of the outstanding shares and refuse to sell them. This creates a supply / demand situation that favors a rising stock price. The near term relative strength indicators for EMRG have begun to rise again after bouncing around mid range for the past couple of weeks, still with upside room to go before threatening an overbought condition. Finally, the shorter term stochastics have been trending higher from extremely oversold levels (set back in, you guessed it, late September) with a series of higher highs and higher lows, but still currently remain just above oversold (turning higher) and have lots of upside left in them before reaching overbought status. As we stated earlier, this one's NOT for the faint of heart, so a 'buy on the dips' strategy would probably serve you well if you decided to get in on this one. We think this one's worth watching, so we're making it our first spec play of the day (below) this morning.
Spec Plays:
EMRG - Buy Range - $1.50 to $1.75 (risk to a break below the $1.25 area). Sell Range - $2.50 to $3.00. Previous close - $1.50
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