VectorVest Stock Analysis of Natus Med Inc as of 5/13/2004 Thank you for requesting an analysis of Natus Med Inc from VectorVest. The ticker symbol for Natus Med Inc is BABY. BABY is traded on the NASDAQ - (O) Analysis Summary BABY is overvalued compared to its Price of $4.56 per share, has somewhat below average safety, and is currently rated a Hold. In-Depth Analysis Business: NATUS MEDICAL INC/DE, (BABY) develops medical devices to identify and monitor medical disorders that may occur between conception and a baby's first birthday. The company's major product is used to screen the hearing of newborns. Price: BABY closed on 5/13/2004 at $4.56 per share Value: Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. BABY has a current Value of $2.98 per share. Therefore, it is overvalued compared to its Price of $4.56 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitably increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease. VectorVest advocates the purchase of undervalued stocks. At some point in time, a stock's Price and Value always will converge. RV (Relative Value): RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. BABY has an RV of 1.03, which is fair on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. This indicator is far superior to a simple comparison of Price and Value because it is computed from an analysis of projected price appreciation three years out, AAA Corporate Bond Rates, and risk. RV solves the riddle of whether it is preferable to buy High growth, High P/E stocks, or Low growth, Low P/E stocks. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RV ratings above 1.00. RS (Relative Safety): RS is an indicator of risk. BABY has an RS rating of 0.89, which is fair on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RS is computed from an analysis of the consistency and predictability of a company's financial performance, debt to equity ratio, sales volume, business longevity, price volatility and other factors. A stock with an RS rating greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable than the average stock in the VectorVest database. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks of companies with consistent, predictable financial performance. RT (Relative Timing): RT is a fast, smart, accurate indicator of a stock's price trend. BABY has a Relative Timing rating of 1.11, which is good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RT is computed from an analysis of the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price movements over one day, one week, one quarter and one year time periods. Once a stock's price has established a strong trend, it is expected to continue in that trend for the short-term. If a trend dissipates, RT will gravitate toward 1.00. RT will explode from bottoms, dive from tops, and reflect changes in price momentum. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RT ratings above 1.00. VST (VST-Vector): VST is the master indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database. BABY has a VST rating of 1.02, which is fair on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. VST is computed from the square root of a weighted sum of the squares of RV, RS, and RT. Stocks with the highest VST ratings have the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing. These are the stocks to own for above average, long-term capital appreciation. VectorVest advocates the purchase of safe, undervalued stocks rising in price. The efficacy of this indicator was demonstrated in a study conducted at the University of Chicago which showed that high VST stocks outperformed the S&P 500 by 583.1% over the six year period from 1996 through 2002. CI (Comfort Index): CI is an indicator which reflects a stock's ability to resist severe and/or lengthy price declines. BABY has a CI rating of 0.78, which is poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. CI is quite different from RS in that it is based solely upon a stock's long-term price history. VectorVest advocates the purchase of high CI stocks. GRT (Earnings Growth Rate): GRT reflects a company's one to three year forecasted earnings growth rate in percent per year. BABY has a forcasted Earnings Growth Rate of 22.00%, which VectorVest considers to be excellent. GRT is computed from historical, current and forecasted earnings data. It is updated each week for every stock in the VectorVest database. GRT often foretells a stock's future price trend. If a stock's GRT trend is upward, the stock's price will likely rise. If GRT is trending downward, the stock's Price will probably fall. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks whose GRT is rising and is greater than the sum of current inflation and interest rates, (7.76%). Recommendation (REC): VectorVest gives a Buy, Sell, Hold recommendation on every stock, every day. BABY has a Hold recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks rising in price. They also help investors avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks falling in price. VectorVest recommends that investors buy high VST-Vector, Buy-rated stocks in rising markets. Stop (Stop-Price): Stop is an indicator of when to sell a long position or cover a short position. BABY has a Stop of $4.16 per share. This is $0.4 below BABY's current closing Price. A stock's Stop is computed from a 13 week moving average of its closing prices, and is fine-tuned according to the stock's fundamentals. High RV, high RS stocks have lower Stops, and low RV, low RS stocks have higher Stops. In the VectorVest system, a stock gets a 'B' or 'H' recommendation if its Price is above its Stop and an 'S' recommendation if its Price is below its Stop. EPS (Earnings per Share): EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. BABY has a forecasted EPS of $-0.03 per share. VectorVest determines this forecast from a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.