إتجاه السوق اليوم الخميس

[المؤشر]

بدأت أسعار النفط بالتراجع مستجيبة بذلك للمحاولات الكبيره من قبل المصدرين والمستهلكين للسيطره على أسعار النفط حيث إنخفض سعر البرميل إلى $40.26 اليوم الخميس مما يعتبر عامل إيجابي لصالح السوق

سيصدر اليوم عدة تقارير إقتصاديه :

1. GDP-Prel.
2. Initial Claims
3. Help-Wanted Index

على شارت الديلي الناسداك قريب من مستوى تراجع فيبوناتشي 62% عند 1983 ( للحركه من 2050 إلى 1875 ) حيث سيكون مستوى مقاومه قوي إذا إستطاع الناسداك تجاوزه سيكون الهدف مستوى 2000 أما إذا فشل في تجاوزه من المحتمل أن يتراجع إلى 1940 خلال يومين أو ثلاثه

 

[الشعثاني]

After Market Report


We appear to be getting a bit of a rally into the holiday weekend. After a few weeks where trades were going nowhere, we are finally getting that much needed volatility that makes a trade work out in predictable ways. It was fun watching paint dry while it lasted, but this is a lot of fun to - tongue in cheek here

Ah, but now enters that ugly resistance we warned you about. We hope you won’t be angry at the messenger, but it is now time to remain vigilant and cautious for we are faced with the same resistance that knocked the market back at the end of April. We reprinted yesterday’s comments because it is important to reiterate that it is not the time to hold onto bullish or bearish biases. Now is the time to be ready to switch positions quickly if necessary. Note here that the S&P has a bit of head room, but that the Nasdaq is already out of breathing room. If, and it’s a BIG IF, the Nasdaq breaks out and follows through, we will be willing to change our sentiment, but for now, it is time to take off the bull hat and put on the caution hat. We doubt a lot of people are going to be willing to hold their positions open over a three day weekend with so many unknowns in the world right now oil, terrorism, etc


While future short-term direction may not be clear at this point, one thing is - trading conditions are volatile and will remain this way for some time. We consider this good news - plenty of wave action for everyone who wants to trade it

Confirming a reversal in trend will require a series of higher highs and higher lows that can take a month or longer to develop. This process sets its own pace and can't be hurried. While it is always tempting to call a turnaround in a downtrend when you know that Bulls are longing to hear those sweet words, we'll have wait a bit longer. Rushing to judgment usually causes nothing but grief

While Tuesday's performance shows that Bulls are in charge right now, there is some definite resistance just ahead for the S&P 500 just 20 points ahead. A triple top has already been established overhead so it will be interesting to see how the indices react on a retest of the overhead resistance line on this retracement

Should the S&P 500 stall here and begin to decline again, many short-term traders will convert long positions to shorts. To be safe, tighten up your stops on long positions, and be on guard for signs of another downward reversal. And most importantly, set aside any Bull or Bear bias that may be hiding in your plan so you can play the hand that's dealt without prejudice

Bottom Line: You don't need a crystal ball if you prepare for each trade with a "what if" approach. Always remember to ask these questions before entering any position - "What will I do if price moves in my favor?" and "What will I do if it moves against me?" Most traders and investors never consider these questions at all, so simply writing down specific answers will put you way ahead of the game​