إتجاه السوق اليوم الخميس

[المؤشر]

بعد أن إنتهت إنتخابات الرئاسه الأمريكيه سيعود السوق للتركيز على أداء الإقتصاد وأسعار النفط من جديد حيث سيصدر اليوم قبل الإفتتاح تقرير الإنتاجيه Productivity-Prel للربع الثالث للعام الحالي وكذلك تقرير إدعاء البطاله Initial Claims


على شارت 60 دقيقه يوجد ترندلاين صاعد ويشير إلى مستوى 1995 تقريباً وسيعمل كدعم لرفع الناسداك إلى 2027 تقريباً

1995 + 38% ( 1995 - 1910 ) = 2027

أما في حالة كسر الترندلاين سيكون هناك إنخفاض حتى مستوى 1952 تقريباً خلال أيام قليله

 

[الشعثاني]

After Market Report


The market continues to be very risky as we move into the last day of the week. The blue chips rally yesterday was exciting, but as pointed out yesterday, overbought has just become extremely overbought. Most striking is the divergence between tech and the blue chips. Tech, and most notably the semiconductors, failed to participate. Tech may seek to catch up, but the most likely route will be that the blue chips will catch back down here

A respected trader put it this way

The blue chips rallied , with the Dow gaining 1.75%. But, the NASDAQ-100 gained less than half that (0.8%). In fact, while the Dow moved back to challenge its September high, the NASDAQ failed to exceed yesterday's high. That's bearish divergence. When the lead dogs don't bark, we've found in the past that risk favors holding cash and not stocks. That divergence can certainly continue, but has always been resolved, as far as we can recall, by the blue chips "catching-down" rather than the other way 'round

After indices pull back from here we believe there will be some good opportunities in drilling, telecom, drug, and finance stocks just to name a few. These are sectors sure to benefit from the reelection of Bush, whose policies are favorable to these industries. In the meantime it will be best to use current market strength to sell into

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